{"id":22636,"date":"2016-11-11T14:40:16","date_gmt":"2016-11-11T19:40:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/?p=22636"},"modified":"2022-02-04T05:10:30","modified_gmt":"2022-02-04T10:10:30","slug":"why-were-the-polls-so-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/?p=22636","title":{"rendered":"Why were the polls so wrong?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good day all. Since the Great Victory of President-Elect Donald Trump, (Giggle), over the evil Felonia von Pantsuit, (Booo! Hissss), everyone has been wondering just how the polling companies could have gotten it so wrong?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-20972\" src=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark-300x251.jpg\" alt=\"loan-shark\" width=\"300\" height=\"251\" srcset=\"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark-300x251.jpg 300w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark-768x641.jpg 768w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark-500x418.jpg 500w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/loan-shark.jpg 795w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Prior to the vote November 8, almost all the polls had Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump, and everyone though it was all over for The Donald. As we have seen, much to the chagrin of the precious snowflakes, With 2 exceptions, the pollsters got it dead wrong. There have been a lot of questions on how the polls were technically set up. According to blogs and forums I follow, it looked like the pollsters were weighting the results in favor of Felonia. Now I think I know why. Here are some details on who the pollsters were actually supporting <a href=\"http:\/\/heatst.com\/politics\/presidential-pollsters-political-contributions-heavily-for-hillary-clinton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">from Heatstreet<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><b>Recently, the <\/b><i><b>Washington Post<\/b><\/i><b>, Yahoo News, <\/b><i><b>Time<\/b><\/i><b>, the <\/b><i><b>Columbia Journal Review <\/b><\/i><b>and a host of other news organizations reported on a<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20181128184258\/https:\/\/www.publicintegrity.org\/2016\/10\/17\/20330\/journalists-shower-hillary-clinton-campaign-cash\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Center for Public Integrity study<\/a> detailing the federal campaign-finance filings of journalists, reporters, news editors, television news anchors and other donors working in journalism. The study found that 96 percent of those contributions \u2013 or about $382,000 \u2013 went to the presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton, while the remainder went to Donald Trump. <\/b><\/p>\n<p>96 percent of their donations went to Felonia? Who do they think they are, Journalists?<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><b>There is no evidence that any of the polling firms concerned have juiced their surveys or numbers in any way. <\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/bullshit-meter.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7298\" src=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/bullshit-meter.jpg\" alt=\"bullshit-meter\" width=\"256\" height=\"175\" srcset=\"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/bullshit-meter.jpg 256w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/bullshit-meter-150x102.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 256px) 100vw, 256px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><b>Journalists\u2019 disproportionately Democratic donations, revealed in The Center for Public Integrity\u2019s study, reinforced the<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/general_politics\/may_2015\/most_voters_expect_biased_news_coverage_of_2016_presidential_race\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> negative perceptions that a vast majority of American voters have of the news media<\/a> \u2013 that they cannot be trusted, that they will work to elect the presidential candidate of their choice,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/public_content\/politics\/elections\/election_2016\/voters_expect_reporters_to_help_clinton_over_trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> and that Hillary Clinton is that candidate<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/captain_obvious.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-17187\" src=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/captain_obvious-300x182.jpg\" alt=\"captain_obvious\" width=\"300\" height=\"182\" srcset=\"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/captain_obvious-300x182.jpg 300w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/02\/captain_obvious.jpg 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This story was written prior to the election of Donald Trump. Since then, we have learned that some of these companies were, in fact, rigging their polls in favor of Felonia von Pantsuit in order to help her win the election. The thinking, for what passes for actual thought among the Liberals, was that Trump voters were get disheartened and stay home, thinking it was a lost cause. The opposite is what happened.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-20619\" src=\"http:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump-300x214.jpg\" alt=\"Donald Trump\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" srcset=\"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump-300x214.jpg 300w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump-768x548.jpg 768w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump-1024x731.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump-500x357.jpg 500w, https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Donald-Trump.jpg 1180w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The polling companies generally undercounted the Trump supporters. There was a great deal of discussion about \u201cThe hidden Trump voters\u201d who weren\u2019t being contacted by the pollsters. This is the second major vote that polling companies have blown big time. Brexit was another one. I have no information on the preferences for those companies that handled the Brexit polling, but it wouldn\u2019t surprise me if they were all part of the \u201cStay\u201d side.<\/p>\n<p>Tuseday dumped a lot of eggs on the faces of many big name polling companies. One of the better known pollsters, Nate Silver, blew it completely. He\u2019s been the \u201cFair haired boy\u201d for the last few years with his lucky guess on Obama\u2019s presidential campaigns. I suspect he\u2019s going to be slowly driving off into the sunset.<\/p>\n<p>Thatisall<\/p>\n<p><i><b>~The Angry Webmaster~<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n<p>[yasr_visitor_votes size=&#8221;large&#8221;]<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-86\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_86\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog2\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_86_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"a267de7af4\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"86\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Do you think that the pollsters rigged their polls to favor Hillary Clinton?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-86-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-296\" name=\"poll_86\" value=\"296\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-296\">Yes<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-297\" name=\"poll_86\" value=\"297\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-297\">No<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-298\" name=\"poll_86\" value=\"298\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-298\">not sure<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" data-poll-id=\"86\" data-poll-action=\"vote\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" data-poll-id=\"86\" data-poll-action=\"result\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-86-loading\" class=\"wp-polls wp-polls-loading\"><span class=\"wp-polls-spinner\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span> Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer; top: 1556px; left: 241px;\">Save<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer;\">Save<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c  no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer; top: 124px; left: 241px;\">Save<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good day all. Since the Great Victory of President-Elect Donald Trump, (Giggle), over the evil Felonia von Pansuit, (Booo! Hissss), everyone has been wondering just how the polling companies could have gotten it so wrong? <a href=\"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/?p=22636\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[135,71,115,57],"tags":[15,101,21,57],"class_list":["post-22636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-just-desserts","category-news-of-the-day","category-stupidity-crime","category-technology","tag-incompetence","tag-news","tag-scams","tag-technology"],"views":614,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22636","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=22636"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22636\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36502,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22636\/revisions\/36502"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=22636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=22636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/angry.net\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=22636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}