Good day all. Since the Great Victory of President-Elect Donald Trump, (Giggle), over the evil Felonia von Pantsuit, (Booo! Hissss), everyone has been wondering just how the polling companies could have gotten it so wrong?
Prior to the vote November 8, almost all the polls had Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump, and everyone though it was all over for The Donald. As we have seen, much to the chagrin of the precious snowflakes, With 2 exceptions, the pollsters got it dead wrong. There have been a lot of questions on how the polls were technically set up. According to blogs and forums I follow, it looked like the pollsters were weighting the results in favor of Felonia. Now I think I know why. Here are some details on who the pollsters were actually supporting from Heatstreet:
Recently, the Washington Post, Yahoo News, Time, the Columbia Journal Review and a host of other news organizations reported on a Center for Public Integrity study detailing the federal campaign-finance filings of journalists, reporters, news editors, television news anchors and other donors working in journalism. The study found that 96 percent of those contributions – or about $382,000 – went to the presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton, while the remainder went to Donald Trump.
96 percent of their donations went to Felonia? Who do they think they are, Journalists?
There is no evidence that any of the polling firms concerned have juiced their surveys or numbers in any way.
Journalists’ disproportionately Democratic donations, revealed in The Center for Public Integrity’s study, reinforced the negative perceptions that a vast majority of American voters have of the news media – that they cannot be trusted, that they will work to elect the presidential candidate of their choice, and that Hillary Clinton is that candidate.
This story was written prior to the election of Donald Trump. Since then, we have learned that some of these companies were, in fact, rigging their polls in favor of Felonia von Pantsuit in order to help her win the election. The thinking, for what passes for actual thought among the Liberals, was that Trump voters were get disheartened and stay home, thinking it was a lost cause. The opposite is what happened.
The polling companies generally undercounted the Trump supporters. There was a great deal of discussion about “The hidden Trump voters” who weren’t being contacted by the pollsters. This is the second major vote that polling companies have blown big time. Brexit was another one. I have no information on the preferences for those companies that handled the Brexit polling, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they were all part of the “Stay” side.
Tuseday dumped a lot of eggs on the faces of many big name polling companies. One of the better known pollsters, Nate Silver, blew it completely. He’s been the “Fair haired boy” for the last few years with his lucky guess on Obama’s presidential campaigns. I suspect he’s going to be slowly driving off into the sunset.
Thatisall
~The Angry Webmaster~
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Weighting the sample isn’t really that important. Just word the questions so only a raving psychopath would answer against the results you want.
Meh, people saw the polls were wrong BEFORE the election. Anyone with five spare minutes could dig into the details and find D+7 and D+15 samples, and/or I-10 samples, and other deliberately shady numbers used to make sure things came out “the right way”.
I just didn’t know if the actual votes would be strong enough to override the margin of fraud. I was starting to think they were creating these bullcrap polls because they were planning to create the “correct” result the same way on the actual votes. (And they did at least try in some areas, to some degree, but either it wasn’t enough or they got caught enough to prevent them from pulling it off.) Fortunately for sanity and such, I was wrong.